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Date Created: 12/21/15
Home Prices Mixed in February 2010 According to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices New York, April 27, 2010 – Data through February 2010, released today by Standard & Poor’s for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, show that the annual rates of decline of the 10-City and 20-City Composites improved in February compared to January 2010. For the first time since December 2006, the annual ra tes of change for the two Composites are positive. The 10-City Composite is up 1.4% from where it was in February 2009, and the 20-City Composite is up 0.6% versus the same time last year. However, 11 of 20 cities saw year-over-year declines. S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices 24% 24% 20% 20% 10 -City Composite 16% 16% 12% 12% 8% 8% Percent change, year ago 20-City 4% Composite 4% 0% 0% -4% -4% Pe-8%nt change, year ago -8% -12% -12% -16% -16% -20% -20% -24% -24% 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Source: Standard & Poor's & Fiserv The chart above depicts the annual returns of the 10-City and 20-City Composite Home Price Indices with an increase of 1.4% and 0.6%, respectively, in February 2010 compared to the same month last year. Eighteen of the 20 metro areas and both Compos ites showed an improvement in their annual rates with this month’s readings compared to the Janua ry 2010 figures; with Dallas and Portland being the exceptions. 1Case-Shiller and Case-Shiller Indexes are registered trademarks of Fiserv, Inc. “Beginning last November, each report showed gains as fewer cities reported year-over-year declines than in the previous month; those gains ended with th is report. Further, in six cities prices were at their lowest levels since the prices peaked three-to-four years ago. These data point to a risk that home prices could decline further before experiencing any sustained gains. While the year-over-year data continued to improve for 18 of the 20 MSAs and the two Composites, this simply confirms that the pace of decline is less severe than a year ago. It is too early to sa y that the housing market is recovering” says David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at Standa rd & Poor’s. “Nineteen of the 20 MSAs and both Composites declined in February over January. Fourteen of the MSAs and both Composites have now fallen for at least four consecutive months. In additi on, prices reached recent new lows for six cities in February – Charlotte, Las Vegas, New York, Portla nd, Seattle and Tampa – sending a more cautionary message compared to the annual figures. While 14 MSAs and the two composites show improvement over their trough values reached in the spring 2009, we are not completely out of the woods. “Existing and new home sales, inventories and housing starts all show tremendous improvement in their March statistics. The homebuyer tax credit, availabl e until the end of April, is the likely cause for these encouraging numbers and this may also flow through to some of our home price data in the next few months. Amidst all the news, however, we should al so pay heed to foreclosure activity, which have reached their highest level in at least the last five years. As these homes are put up for sales, we may see some further dampening in home prices.” S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices 250 250 20-City 225 Composite 225 200 200 175 175 150 150 Both indices are back 125 to their late 125 summer/early autumn 10 -City Composite 2003 levels 100 100 75 75 50 50 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 Source: Standard & Poor's and Fiserv The chart above shows the index levels for the 10-C ity and 20-City Composite Indices. As of February 2010, average home prices across the United States are at similar levels to where they were in late summer/early autumn of 2003. From their peak in June/July of 2006 through the trough in April 2009, the 10-City Composite is down 33.5% and the 20-C ity Composite is down 32.6%. The peak-to-date figures through February 2010 are -30.7% and -30.3%, respectively. San Diego was the only market that continued to show improvement in home prices between January and February. All other metros and the two composites s howed declines from their January levels, some of these being fairly significant, with 12 of the MSAs falling by at least 1.0% during the month. Six of the MSAs – Charlotte, Las Vegas, New York, Portland , Seattle and Tampa – pos ted new index lows as measured in the current housing cycle where, dependi ng on the market, we saw p eaks in 2006 and 2007. The two latest markets to post new index lows, Ne w York and Portland, showed peak-to-February declines of -21% and -23.0%, respectively. Charlotte and Cleveland have shown seven consecutiv e months of negative monthly returns. Atlanta, Boston, Denver, New York and Tampa are not far behind, with six consecutive negative prints. Six of the 20 MSAs – Atlanta, Denver, Las Vegas, San Die go, Seattle and Washington DC – showed some improvement in monthly returns compared to the prior month. The table below summarizes the r esults for February 2010. The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are revised for the 24 prior months, based on the recei pt of additional source data. More than 23 years of history for these data series is available, and can be accessed in full by going to www.homeprice.standardandpoors.com February 2010 February/January January '10/Dec '09 Metropolitan Area Level Change (%) Change (%) 1-Year Change (%) Atlanta 105.66 -1.3% -1.5% -0.9% Boston 151.44 -1.0% -0.5% 1.8% Charlotte 116.09 -1.0% -0.5% -2.5% Chicago 122.57 -2.0% -1.7% -3.0% Cleveland 100.93 -2.1% -0.7% 3.2% Dallas 115.24 -1.8% -1.3% 2.6% Denver 124.54 -0.8% -1.3% 3.6% Detroit 70.50 -1.8% -1.1% -5.4% Las Vegas 103.40 -0.4% -0.5% -14.6% Los Angeles 171.82 -0.7% 0.9% 5.3% Miami 147.52 -0.5% -0.2% -4.4% Minneapolis 119.91 -2.2% -0.9% 3.0% New York 170.46 -0.4% -0.3% -4.1% Phoenix 110.11 -1.5% -0.6% -1.6% Portland 143.69 -2.4% -1.8% -4.8% San Diego 157.92 0.6% 0.4% 7.6% San Francisco 134.67 -0.7% -0.6% 11.9% Seattle 143.56 -1.1% -1.7% -5.6% Tampa 136.54 -1.2% -0.5% -6.0% Washington 176.49 -0.5% -0.8% 5.0% Composite-10 156.82 -0.6% -0.2% 1.4% Composite-20 144.03 -0.9% -0.4% 0.6% Source: Standard & Poor's and Fiserv Data through February 2010 Since its launch in early 2006, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices have published, and the markets have followed and reported on, the non-seasonally adju sted data set used in the headline indices. For analytical purposes, Standard & Poor’s does publ ish a seasonally adjusted data set covered in the headline indices, as well as for the 17 of 20 markets with tiered price indices and the five condo markets that are tracked. A summary of the monthly cha nges using the seasonally adjusted (SA) and non- seasonally adjusted (NSA) data can be found in the table below. A summary of the monthly changes using the seasona lly adjusted (SA) and non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) data can be found in the table below. February/January Change (%) January '10/Dec '09 Change (%) Metropolitan Area NSA SA NSA SA Atlanta -1.3% -0.8% -1.5% -0.5% Boston -1.0% -0.5% -0.5% 0.3% Charlotte -1.0% -0.4% -0.5% -0.1% Chicago -2.0% -1.0% -1.7% -0.8% Cleveland -2.1% 0.0% -0.7% 0.3% Dallas -1.8% -1.4% -1.3% -0.2% Denver -0.8% -0.2% -1.3% -0.1% Detroit -1.8% -0.9% -1.1% 0.0% Las Vegas -0.4% 0.1% -0.5% 0.3% Los Angeles -0.7% 0.2% 0.9% 1.9% Miami -0.5% -0.3% -0.2% -0.1% Minneapolis -2.2% -0.9% -0.9% 0.5% New York -0.4% -0.2% -0.3% -0.2% Phoenix -1.5% -0.4% -0.6% 0.5% Portland -2.4% -1.9% -1.8% -0.5% San Diego 0.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.9% San Francisco -0.7% 0.4% -0.6% 0.5% Seattle -1.1% -0.8% -1.7% -0.5% Tampa -1.2% -0.3% -0.5% 0.3% Washington -0.5% 0.0% -0.8% -0.1% Composite-10 -0.6% 0.1% -0.2% 0.4% Composite-20 -0.9% -0.1% -0.4% 0.3% Source: Standard & Poor's and Fiserv Data through February 2010 The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are published on the last Tuesday of each month at 9:00 am ET. They are constructed to accurately track the price path of typical single-family homes located in each metropolitan area provided. Each index combines matched price pairs for thousands of individual houses from the available universe of arms-length sales data. The S&P/Case-Shiller National U.S. Home Price Index tracks the value of single-family housing within the United States. The index is a composite of single-family home price indices for the nine U.S. Ce nsus divisions and is cal culated quarterly. The S&P/Case-Shiller Composite of 10 Home Price Index is a value-weighted average of the 10 original metro area indices. The S&P/Case-Shiller Composite of 20 Home Price Index is a value-weighted average of the 20 metro area indices. The indices have a base value of 100 in January 2000; thus, for example, a current index value of 150 translates to a 50% appreciation rate since January 2000 for a typical home located within the subject market. These indices are generated and published under agreements between Standard & Poor’s and Fiserv, Inc. The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are produced by Fiserv, Inc. In addition to the S&P/Case- Shiller Home Price Indices, Fiserv also offers home price index sets covering thousands of zip codes, counties, metro areas, and state markets. The indices, published by Standard & Poor's, represent just a small subset of the broader data available through Fiserv. For more information about S&P Indices, please visit www.standardandpoors.com/indices. About S&P Indices S&P Indices, the world’s leading index provider, main tains a wide variety of investable and benchmark indices to meet an array of investor needs. Over $1 trillion is directly indexed to Standard & Poor's family of indices, which includes the S&P 500, the wo rld's most followed stock market index, the S&P Global 1200, a composite index comprised of seven regional and country headline indices, the S&P Global BMI, an index with approximately 11,000 c onstituents, and the S&P GSCI, the industry's most closely watched commodities indeF x.r more information, please visit www.standardandpoors.com/indices. About Standard & Poor's Standard & Poor's, a subsidiary of The McGraw-Hill Companies (NYSE:MHP), is the world's foremost provider of independent credit ratings, indices, risk evaluation, investment research and data. With offices in 23 countries and markets, Standard & Poor 's is an essential part of the world's financial infrastructure and has played a lead ing role for 150 years in providin g investors with the independent benchmarks they need to feel more confident about their investment and financial decisions. For more information, visit http://www.standardandpoors.com For more information: David R. Guarino David Blitzer Standard & Poor’s Standard & Poor’s Communications Chairman of the Index Committee 212-438-1471 212-438-3907 email@example.com firstname.lastname@example.org
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