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POLS 209

by: Laura Notetaker

POLS 209

Laura Notetaker
Texas A&M
GPA 3.6

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This 4 page Class Notes was uploaded by Laura Notetaker on Sunday August 14, 2016. The Class Notes belongs to at Texas A&M University taught by in Fall 2016. Since its upload, it has received 5 views.


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Date Created: 08/14/16
Laura Grumbine Effects of Millennials on Elections Introduction: Americas youth, especially women, have created uproar during recent election cycles. They bring forth new ideas and call for changes that would have been considered ludicrous just a decade ago. This has cause the Republican Party to shift even further to the right in order to maintain balance within our political system. Youths have turned to the Democratic Party in hopes of inciting change and have the ability to sway elections. Prime examples of this can be seen in both the 2008 and 2012 elections when the youth vote secured Obama’s election. This is due to increased education levels, growing racial diversity, low political allegiance, and so many other changing aspects of society. In fact, in the last fifty years there have been no elections with instances “where under-thirty voters are more Republican than voters over the age of twenty-nine (Cook, 2011)”. The purpose of this research is to analyze the reasoning behind youth voting tendencies in the 2012 presidential election. I am ultimately seeking to define a causal relationship between the age of voters and whom they choose to vote for. Theory: Evidence supports the causal relationship between youth voters and their recent tendency toward voting for democratic incumbents being greater than that of previous generations. This change is brought on largely by increased diversity within the population, causing Millenials to be “the most liberal age group (Pew Research Center, 2014)”. Current youth voters are nearing a minority- majority, as “millennials are more diverse than the generations that preceded them, with 44.2 percent being part of a minority race or ethnic group (US Census Bureau, 2015)”. Hypothesis: Generational changes have caused Millenials to vote more democratically than previous generations. Data Measurement/Units of Analysis: Through the utilization of observational research design, I show the 2012 presidential election results with details from the congressional districts. Voting tendencies are further examined based on age, education level, income, gender, ethnicity, etc. Data is a compilation of nominal, ordinal, and ratio measurement types. Methods: 5,916 individuals were surveyed or completed online surveys in the two months before and then again after the November 2012 election. Responses show social, physical, and economic backgrounds of respondents. Conclusion: Generational dissimilarity has further polarized political parties, lending the upper hand to the Democratic Party in the 2012 election. “The last two presidential elections have had the widest gaps in voting between young and old of any election since 1972 (Pew Research Center, 2012)”, and the youth vote for the Democrats pushed Obama to a win in both years he was elected. Millenials greatly impacted the election of 2012 and this is in part due to their diversity and the fact that “hispanic and black voters, it shows, are more likely to vote for Democrats, as are women (Maya Rhodan, 2014)”. An increasingly liberal generation of voters forged the way for the reelection of democratic incumbent, Barack Obama, in the 2012 presidential election. Works Cited Cook, Zachary. "Partisanship Transformed? Comparing The Young Boomers And Millennials." Conference Papers -- American Political Science Association (2011): 1-56. Political Science Complete. Web. 28 Feb. 2016. Kiley, Jocelyn, and Michael Dimock. "The GOP's Millennial Problem Runs Deep." The Pew Research Center, 25 Sept. 2014. Web. 26 Feb. 2016. < tank/2014/09/25/the-gops-millennial-problem-runs-deep/>. "Millennials Outnumber Baby Boomers." The United States Census Bureau, 25 June 2015. Web. 26 Feb. 2016. < 113.html>. "Young Voters Supported Obama Less, But May Have Mattered More." The Pew Research Center, 26 Nov. 2012. Web. 26 Feb. 2016. < supported-obama-less-but-may-have-mattered-more/>.Rhodan, Maya. "Poll: About Half Of Millennials Will Vote For Democrats In The Midterms." Time.Com (2014): 1. Vocational and Career Collection. Web. 28 Feb. 2016 Rhodan, Maya. "Poll: About Half Of Millennials Will Vote For Democrats In The Midterms." Time.Com (2014): 1. Vocational and Career Collection. Web. 28 Feb. 2016.


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