Predicting success of trainees. What distinguishes managerial trainees whoeventually

Chapter 0, Problem 16.40

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Predicting success of trainees. What distinguishes managerial trainees whoeventually become executives from those who dont succeed and leave thecompany? We have abundant data on past traineesdata on their personalitiesand goals, their college preparation and performance, even their familybackgrounds and their hobbies. Statistical software makes it easy to performdozens of significance tests on these dozens of variables to see which ones bestpredict later success. We find that future executives are significantly more likelythan washouts to have an urban or suburban upbringing and an undergraduatedegree in a technical field. Explain clearly why using these significant variablesto select future trainees is not wise.

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