Solved: Using Benfords law According to Benfords law (Exercise 5, page 359), the

Chapter 6, Problem 99

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QUESTION:

Using Benford’s law According to Benford’s law (Exercise 5, page 359), the probability that the first digit of the amount of a randomly chosen invoice is an 8 or a 9 is 0.097. Suppose you examine randomly selected invoices from a vendor until you find one whose amount begins with an 8 or a 9.

(a) How many invoices do you expect to examine until you get one that begins with an 8 or 9? Justify your answer.

(b) In fact, you don’t get an amount starting with an 8 or 9 until the 40th invoice. Do you suspect that the invoice amounts are not genuine? Compute an appropriate probability to support your answer.

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QUESTION:

Using Benford’s law According to Benford’s law (Exercise 5, page 359), the probability that the first digit of the amount of a randomly chosen invoice is an 8 or a 9 is 0.097. Suppose you examine randomly selected invoices from a vendor until you find one whose amount begins with an 8 or a 9.

(a) How many invoices do you expect to examine until you get one that begins with an 8 or 9? Justify your answer.

(b) In fact, you don’t get an amount starting with an 8 or 9 until the 40th invoice. Do you suspect that the invoice amounts are not genuine? Compute an appropriate probability to support your answer.

ANSWER:

Step 1 of 4

Given,

The probability that the first digit of the amount is an 8 or a 9,

X = number of invoices from a vendor until you find one whose amount begins with an 8 or a 9.

Let’s determine the following:

 

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