?Prussian Army In 1898, Ladislaus von Bortkiewicz published The Law of Small Numbers, in which he demonstrated the power of the Poisson probability law
Chapter 6, Problem 21(choose chapter or problem)
Prussian Army In 1898, Ladislaus von Bortkiewicz published The Law of Small Numbers, in which he demonstrated the power of the Poisson probability law. Before his publication, the law was used exclusively to approximate binomial probabilities. He demonstrated the law’s power, using the number of Prussian cavalry soldiers who were kicked to death by their horses. The Prussian army monitored 10 cavalry corps for 20 years and recorded the number X of annual fatalities because of horse kicks for the 200 observations. The following table shows the data:
(a) Compute the proportion of years in which there were 0 deaths, 1 death, 2 deaths, 3 deaths, and 4 deaths.
(b) From the data in the table, what was the mean number of deaths per year?
(c) Use the mean number of deaths per year found in part (b) and the Poisson probability law to determine the theoretical proportion of years that 0 deaths should occur. Repeat this for 1, 2, 3, and 4 deaths.
(d) Compare the observed proportions to the theoretical proportions. Do you think the data can be modeled by the Poisson probability law?
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