Crash. Commercial airplanes have an excellent

Chapter 14, Problem 8

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Crash. Commercial airplanes have an excellent safetyrecord. Nevertheless, there are crashes occasionally, withthe loss of many lives. In the weeks following a crash,airlines often report a drop in the number of passengers,probably because people are afraid to risk flying.a) A travel agent suggests that since the law of averagesmakes it highly unlikely to have two plane crasheswithin a few weeks of each other, flying soon after acrash is the safest time. What do you think?b) If the airline industry proudly announces that it hasset a new record for the longest period of safe flights,would you be reluctant to fly? Are the airlines due tohave a crash?

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