Bowl A contains three red and two white chips, and bowl B

Chapter 1, Problem 16E

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QUESTION:

Bowl A contains three red and two white chips, and bowl B contains four red and three white chips. A chip is drawn at random from bowl A and transferred to bowl B. Compute the probability of then drawing a red chip from bowl B.

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QUESTION:

Bowl A contains three red and two white chips, and bowl B contains four red and three white chips. A chip is drawn at random from bowl A and transferred to bowl B. Compute the probability of then drawing a red chip from bowl B.

ANSWER:

Step 1 of 3 :

It is given that                          

Bowl A                                   Bowl B

No of red chips = 3              No of red chips= 4                

No of white chips = 2          No of white chips = 3

It is also given that a chip is drawn randomly from bowl A and transferred to bowl B.

So then there will be two chances that  drawing a red chip from Bowl B.

  1. Drawing a white chip from bowl A and transferred to bowl B and then drawing a red chip from bowl B.
  2.  Drawing a red chip from bowl A and transferred to bowl B and then drawing a red chip from bowl B.

By Bayes theorem probability of drawing a red chip from bowl B will be the addition of these two probabilities.

Step  2 of 3:

Let define the events

A = drawing a red chip from Bowl B after transferring a chip from bowl A to B which is randomly chosen.

W =  a white chip transferred

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