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Scores on an examination are assumed to be normally
Chapter 4, Problem 74E(choose chapter or problem)
Scores on an examination are assumed to be normally distributed with mean 78 and variance 36.
a What is the probability that a person taking the examination scores higher than 72?
b Suppose that students scoring in the top 10% of this distribution are to receive an A grade. What is the minimum score a student must achieve to earn an A grade?
c What must be the cutoff point for passing the examination if the examiner wants only the top 28.1% of all scores to be passing?
d Approximately what proportion of students have scores 5 or more points above the score that cuts off the lowest 25%?
e Applet Exercise Answer parts (a)–(d), using the applet Normal Tail Areas and Quantiles.
f If it is known that a student’s score exceeds 72, what is the probability that his or her score exceeds 84?
Questions & Answers
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QUESTION:
Scores on an examination are assumed to be normally distributed with mean 78 and variance 36.
a What is the probability that a person taking the examination scores higher than 72?
b Suppose that students scoring in the top 10% of this distribution are to receive an A grade. What is the minimum score a student must achieve to earn an A grade?
c What must be the cutoff point for passing the examination if the examiner wants only the top 28.1% of all scores to be passing?
d Approximately what proportion of students have scores 5 or more points above the score that cuts off the lowest 25%?
e Applet Exercise Answer parts (a)–(d), using the applet Normal Tail Areas and Quantiles.
f If it is known that a student’s score exceeds 72, what is the probability that his or her score exceeds 84?
ANSWER:Step 1 of 8
Let y denote the scores on an examination. Given that y follows a normal distribution with a mean of 78 and variance of 36.
(a)
We want to determine the probability of a person taking the examination scores higher than 72. That is
\(P\left( {y \ge 72} \right) = P\left( {\frac{{y - \mu }}{\sigma } \ge \frac{{72 - \mu }}{\sigma }} \right)\)
\(P\left( {y \ge 72} \right) = P\left( {z \ge \frac{{72 - 78}}{6}} \right)\)
\(P\left( {y \ge 72} \right) = P\left( {z \ge - 1} \right)\)
\(P\left( {y \ge 72} \right) = 1 - 0.1587\)
\(P\left( {y \ge 72} \right) = 0.8413\)
Hence, the probability that a person taking the examination scores higher than 72 is 0.8413
Step 2 of 8
b)
Now, we want to determine a student's minimum marks for receiving an A grade.
Suppose the student gets x marks, then he receives an A grade.
That is
\(P\left( {y \ge x} \right) = 0.1\)
\(P\left( {\frac{{y - \mu }}{\sigma } \ge \frac{{x - \mu }}{\sigma }} \right) = 0.1\)
\(1 - \phi \left( {\frac{{x - 78}}{6}} \right) = 0.1\)
\(\frac{{x - 78}}{6} = 1.282\)
\(x = 85.692\)
Therefore, the student gets a minimum of 85.692 marks and receives an A grade.
Step 3 of 8
c)
The cut-off point for passing the examination is if the examiner wants only the top 28.1% of all scores to be passed.
That is
\(P\left( {y \ge {y_0}} \right) = 0.281\)
\(P\left( {\frac{{y - \mu }}{\sigma } \ge \frac{{{y_0} - \mu }}{\sigma }} \right) = 0.281\)
\(1 - \phi \left( {\frac{{{y_0} - 78}}{6}} \right) = 0.281\)
\(\frac{{{y_0} - 78}}{6} = 0.5798\)
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Review this written solution for 31739) viewed: 4006 isbn: 9780495110811 | Mathematical Statistics With Applications - 7 Edition - Chapter 4 - Problem 74e
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