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Tax returns audited by the IRS. According to the Internal
Chapter 4, Problem 56E(choose chapter or problem)
According to the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), the chances of your tax return being audited are about 1 in 100 if your income is less than $1 million and 9 in 100 if your income is $1 million or more (IRS Enforcement and Services Statistics).
a. What is the probability that a taxpayer with income less than $1 million will be audited by the IRS? With income $1 million or more?
b. If five taxpayers with incomes under $1 million are randomly selected, what is the probability that exactly one will be audited? That more than one will be audited?
c. Repeat part b assuming that five taxpayers with incomes of $1 million or more are randomly selected.
d. If two taxpayers with incomes under $1 million are randomly selected and two with incomes more than $1 million are randomly selected, what is the probability that none of these taxpayers will be audited by the IRS?
e. What assumptions did you have to make in order to answer these questions using the methodology presented in this section?
Questions & Answers
QUESTION:
According to the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), the chances of your tax return being audited are about 1 in 100 if your income is less than $1 million and 9 in 100 if your income is $1 million or more (IRS Enforcement and Services Statistics).
a. What is the probability that a taxpayer with income less than $1 million will be audited by the IRS? With income $1 million or more?
b. If five taxpayers with incomes under $1 million are randomly selected, what is the probability that exactly one will be audited? That more than one will be audited?
c. Repeat part b assuming that five taxpayers with incomes of $1 million or more are randomly selected.
d. If two taxpayers with incomes under $1 million are randomly selected and two with incomes more than $1 million are randomly selected, what is the probability that none of these taxpayers will be audited by the IRS?
e. What assumptions did you have to make in order to answer these questions using the methodology presented in this section?
ANSWER:Step 1 of 5:
Given 1 in 100 if your income less than $1 million and 9 in 100.
Then 9 in 100 if your income is $1 million or more.
We consider,
Taxpayer is audited : A
Taxpayer has income less than $1 million : B and
Taxpayer has income of $1 million or higher : C
Our goal is :
a). We need to find the probability that a taxpayer with income less than $1 will be audited by the
IRS, with income $1 million or more.
b). We need to find the probability that exactly one will be audited.
c). We are repeating part (b) assuming that 5 taxpayers with income of $1 million or more are randomly selected.
d). We need to find the probability that none of these taxpayers will be audited by the IRS.
e). We need to find what assumption did you have to make in order to answer these questions using the methodology presented in this section.
a). Now we have to find the probability that a taxpayer with income less than $1 will be audited by the IRS, with income $1 million or more.
Now the probability of A given B is
\(\begin{array}{l}\mathrm{P}(A / B)=\frac{1}{100} \\ \mathrm{P}(A / B)=0.01\end{array}\)
Therefore, P(A/B) = 0.01.
Then the probability of A given C is
\(\begin{array}{l}\mathrm{P}(A / C)=\frac{9}{100} \\ \mathrm{P}(A / C)=0.09\end{array}\)
Therefore, P(A/C) = 0.09.