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Guilt in decision making. The Journal of Behavioral
Chapter 4, Problem 78E(choose chapter or problem)
Guilt in decision making. The Journal of Behavioral Decision Making (Jan. 2007) published a study of how guilty feelings impact on-the-job decisions. In one experiment, 57 participants were assigned to a guilty state through a reading/writing task. Immediately after the task, the participants were presented with a decision problem where the stated option had predominantly negative features (e.g., spending money on repairing a very old car). Of these 57 participants, 45 chose the stated option. Suppose 10 of the 57 guilty-state participants are selected at random. Define x as the number in the sample of 10 who chose the stated option.
a. Find P(x = 5).
b. Find P(x = 8).
c. What is the expected value (mean) of x?
Questions & Answers
QUESTION:
Guilt in decision making. The Journal of Behavioral Decision Making (Jan. 2007) published a study of how guilty feelings impact on-the-job decisions. In one experiment, 57 participants were assigned to a guilty state through a reading/writing task. Immediately after the task, the participants were presented with a decision problem where the stated option had predominantly negative features (e.g., spending money on repairing a very old car). Of these 57 participants, 45 chose the stated option. Suppose 10 of the 57 guilty-state participants are selected at random. Define x as the number in the sample of 10 who chose the stated option.
a. Find P(x = 5).
b. Find P(x = 8).
c. What is the expected value (mean) of x?
ANSWER:Step 1 of 3
(a)
We are asked to find the \(P(x=5)\)
Here, random variable X follows a hypergeometric distribution, because we are selecting 10 participants from 57 guilty-state participants of which 45 chose the stated option.
A random variable X is said to have a hypergeometric probability distribution if and only if
\(p(x)=P(X=x)=\frac{(r, x) \times(N-r, n-x)}{(N, n)} \quad\left[(r, x)=C_{x}^{r}=\frac{n !}{x ! \times(n-x) !}\right] \dots \dots (1)\)
Where y is an integer 0, 1, 2,...........n, subject to the restrictions \(x \leq r\) and \(n-x \leq N-r\).
We have given N = 57, n = 10, and r = 45
Hence using equation (1), we can write,
\(\begin{array}{c}
p(5)=P(X=5)=\frac{(r, 5) \times(N-r, n-5)}{(N, n)} \\
p(5)=P(X=5)=\frac{(45,5) \times(57-45,10-5)}{(57,10)} \\
p(5)=P(X=5)=\frac{C_{5}^{45} \times C_{5}^{2}}{C_{10}^{5}}=0.0224
\end{array}\)
Hence the \(P(x=5)=0.0224 \text {. }\)