In the 2012 presidential election, exit polls from the

Chapter 2, Problem 126E

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QUESTION:

In the 2012 presidential election, exit polls from the critical state of Ohio provided the following results:

Total

Obama

Romney

No college degree (60%)

52%

45%

College graduate (40%)

47%

51%

What is the probability a randomly selected respondent voted for Obama?

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QUESTION:

In the 2012 presidential election, exit polls from the critical state of Ohio provided the following results:

Total

Obama

Romney

No college degree (60%)

52%

45%

College graduate (40%)

47%

51%

What is the probability a randomly selected respondent voted for Obama?

ANSWER:

Step 1 of 2

Let O be the event that the selected respondent voted for Obama. And the probability can be denoted as P(O).

According to the Total Probability Rule (Multiple Events), if we consider  are k mutually exclusive and exhaustive sets. Then,

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