Suppose identical tags are placed on both the left ear and theright ear of a fox. The

Chapter 2, Problem 89

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Suppose identical tags are placed on both the left ear and theright ear of a fox. The fox is then let loose for a period oftime. Consider the two events and. Let , andassume C1 and C2 are independent events. Derive an expression(involving ) for the probability that exactly one tag islost, given that at most one is lost (Ear Tag Loss in RedFoxes, J. Wildlife Mgmt., 1976: 164167). [Hint: Draw atree diagram in which the two initial branches refer towhether the left ear tag was lost.]

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