Assisted Reproductive Technology A study found that 45% of

Chapter 3, Problem 29E

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QUESTION:

A study found that 45% of the embryo transfers performed in assisted reproductive technology (ART) procedures resulted in pregnancies. Twenty-four percent of the ART pregnancies resulted in multiple births. (Source: National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion)

(a) Find the probability that a randomly selected embryo transfer resulted in a pregnancy and produced a multiple birth.

(b) Find the probability that a randomly selected embryo transfer that resulted in a pregnancy did not produce a multiple birth.

(c) Would it be unusual for a randomly selected embryo transfer to result in a pregnancy and produce a multiple birth? Explain.

Questions & Answers

QUESTION:

A study found that 45% of the embryo transfers performed in assisted reproductive technology (ART) procedures resulted in pregnancies. Twenty-four percent of the ART pregnancies resulted in multiple births. (Source: National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion)

(a) Find the probability that a randomly selected embryo transfer resulted in a pregnancy and produced a multiple birth.

(b) Find the probability that a randomly selected embryo transfer that resulted in a pregnancy did not produce a multiple birth.

(c) Would it be unusual for a randomly selected embryo transfer to result in a pregnancy and produce a multiple birth? Explain.

ANSWER:

Solution :

Step 1 of 3:

Given a study found that 45% or 0.45 of the embryo transfers performed in assisted reproductive technology (ART) procedures resulted in pregnancies.

Then 24% or 0.24 of the ART pregnancies resulted in multiple births.

Our goal is:

a). We need to find the probability that a randomly selected embryo transfer resulted in a pregnancy and produced a multiple birth

b). We need to find the probability that a randomly selected embryo transfer that resulted in a pregnancy did not produce a multiple birth.

c). We need to find would it be unusual or not.

a). Now we are using the multiplication rule to find the probability of pregnancy and multiple birth.

P (pregnancy and multiple birth) =  

P (pregnancy and multiple birth) =

P (pregnancy and multiple birth) =

P (pregnancy and multiple birth) =

P (pregnancy and multiple birth) = 0.108

Therefore, the probability that a pregnancy and produced a multiple birth is 0.108.


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