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Marriage age 2010 revisited Suppose you wanted to predict

Chapter 8, Problem 43E

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QUESTION:

Marriage age 2010 revisited      Suppose you wanted to predict the trend in marriage age for American women into the early part of this century.

a) How could you use the data graphed in Exercise 15 to get a good prediction? Marriage ages in selected years starting in 1900 are listed below. Use all or part of these data to create an appropriate model for predicting the average age at which women will first marry in 2020.

b) How much faith do you place in this prediction? Explain.

c) Do you think your model would produce an accurate prediction about your grandchildren, say, 50 years from now? Explain.

Questions & Answers

QUESTION:

Marriage age 2010 revisited      Suppose you wanted to predict the trend in marriage age for American women into the early part of this century.

a) How could you use the data graphed in Exercise 15 to get a good prediction? Marriage ages in selected years starting in 1900 are listed below. Use all or part of these data to create an appropriate model for predicting the average age at which women will first marry in 2020.

b) How much faith do you place in this prediction? Explain.

c) Do you think your model would produce an accurate prediction about your grandchildren, say, 50 years from now? Explain.

ANSWER:

Problem 43E

Marriage age 2010 revisited. Suppose you wanted to predict the trend in marriage age for American women into the early part of this century.

a) How could you use the data graphed in Exercise 15 to get a good prediction? Marriage ages in selected years starting in 1900 are listed below. Use all or part of these data to create an appropriate model for predicting the average age at which women will first marry in 2020.

b) How much faith do you place in this prediction? Explain.

c) Do you think your model would produce an accurate prediction about your grandchildren, say, 50 years from now? Explain.

                                                               Step by Step Solution

Step 1 of 6

Given:

The marriage age for American women into the early part of this century is provided as:

Year

Marriage Age

1900

21.9

1910

21.6

1920

21.2

1930

21.3

1940

21.5

1950

20.3

1955

20.2

1960

20.2

1965

20.6

1970

20.8

1975

21.1

1980

22

1985

23.3

1990

23.9

1995

24.5

2000

25.1

2005

25.3

2010

26.1

Table (1)

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