Predicting success of trainees. What distinguishes

Chapter , Problem 6.104

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Predicting success of trainees. What distinguishes managerial trainees who eventually become executives from those who, after expensive training, dont succeed and leave the company? We have abundant data on past traineesdata on their personalities and goals, their college preparation and performance, even their family backgrounds and their hobbies. Statistical software makes it easy to perform dozens of significance tests on these dozens of variables to see which ones best predict later success. We find that future executives are significantly more likely than washouts to have an urban or suburban upbringing and an undergraduate degree in a technical field. Explain clearly why using these significant variables to select future trainees is not wise. Then suggest a follow-up study using this years trainees as subjects that should clarify the importance of the variables identified by the first study.