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Are you really being served red snapper? Red snapper is a
Chapter 3, Problem 71E(choose chapter or problem)
Problem 71E
Are you really being served red snapper? Red snapper is a rare and expensive reef fish served at upscale restaurants. Federal law prohibits restaurants from serving a cheaper, look-alike variety of fish (e.g., vermillion snapper or lane snapper) to customers who order red snapper. Researchers at the University of North Carolina used DNA analysis to examine fish specimens labeled “red snapper” that were purchased from vendors across the country (Nature, July 15, 2004). The DNA tests revealed that 77% of the specimens were not red snapper but the cheaper, look-alike variety of fish.
a. Assuming the results of the DNA analysis are valid, what is the probability that you are actually served red snapper the next time you order it at a restaurant?
b. If there are five customers at a restaurant, all who have ordered red snapper, what is the probability that at least one customer is actually served red snapper?
Questions & Answers
QUESTION:
Problem 71E
Are you really being served red snapper? Red snapper is a rare and expensive reef fish served at upscale restaurants. Federal law prohibits restaurants from serving a cheaper, look-alike variety of fish (e.g., vermillion snapper or lane snapper) to customers who order red snapper. Researchers at the University of North Carolina used DNA analysis to examine fish specimens labeled “red snapper” that were purchased from vendors across the country (Nature, July 15, 2004). The DNA tests revealed that 77% of the specimens were not red snapper but the cheaper, look-alike variety of fish.
a. Assuming the results of the DNA analysis are valid, what is the probability that you are actually served red snapper the next time you order it at a restaurant?
b. If there are five customers at a restaurant, all who have ordered red snapper, what is the probability that at least one customer is actually served red snapper?
ANSWER:
Solution:
Step 1 of 2:
Given the DNA tests revealed that 77% of the specimens were not red snapper but the cheaper, look-alike variety of fish.
a). To find the probability that the you are actually served red snapper the next time you order it at a restaurant.
Let A = The specimen labeled “red snapper” was really red snapper.
Then,
P(A) = 1 - 0.77
= 0.23
Therefore, the probability that the you are actually served red snapper the next time you order it at a restaurant is 0.23.