Federal civil trial appeals. The Journal of the American

Chapter 3, Problem 109SE

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QUESTION:

Problem 109SE

Federal civil trial appeals. The Journal of the American Law and Economics Association (Vol. 3, 2001) published the results of a study of appeals of federal civil trials. The accompanying table, extracted from the article, gives a breakdown of 2,143 civil cases that were appealed by either the plaintiff or the defendant. The outcome of the appeal, as well as the type of trial (judge or jury), was determined for each civil case. Suppose one of the 2,143 cases is selected at random and both the outcome of the appeal and the type of trial are observed.

 

Jury

Judge

Totals

Plaintiff trial win—

 

 

 

reversed

194

71

265

Plaintiff trial win—

 

 

 

affirmed/dismissed

429

240

669

Defendant trial win—

 

 

 

reversed

111

68

179

Defendant trial win—

 

 

 

affirmed/ dismissed

731

299

1,030

Totals

1,465

678

2,143

a. Find P(A), where A = {jurytrial} .

b.  Find P(B), where B = {plaintifftrialwinis reversed } .

c. Are A and B mutually exclusive events?

d.  Find P(Ac).

e. Find P(A U B) .

f. Find P(A n B) .

Questions & Answers

QUESTION:

Problem 109SE

Federal civil trial appeals. The Journal of the American Law and Economics Association (Vol. 3, 2001) published the results of a study of appeals of federal civil trials. The accompanying table, extracted from the article, gives a breakdown of 2,143 civil cases that were appealed by either the plaintiff or the defendant. The outcome of the appeal, as well as the type of trial (judge or jury), was determined for each civil case. Suppose one of the 2,143 cases is selected at random and both the outcome of the appeal and the type of trial are observed.

 

Jury

Judge

Totals

Plaintiff trial win—

 

 

 

reversed

194

71

265

Plaintiff trial win—

 

 

 

affirmed/dismissed

429

240

669

Defendant trial win—

 

 

 

reversed

111

68

179

Defendant trial win—

 

 

 

affirmed/ dismissed

731

299

1,030

Totals

1,465

678

2,143

a. Find P(A), where A = {jurytrial} .

b.  Find P(B), where B = {plaintifftrialwinis reversed } .

c. Are A and B mutually exclusive events?

d.  Find P(Ac).

e. Find P(A U B) .

f. Find P(A n B) .

ANSWER:

Solution

Step 1 of 6

a) We have find the probability of Jury trial

Then P(A)=P( Jury trial)

                =1465/2143

                =0.6836

Hence the probability of Jury trial is 0.6836


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