Solved: Patients arrive at a hospital emergency department

Chapter 4, Problem 149E

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QUESTION:

Problem 149E

Patients arrive at a hospital emergency department according to a Poisson process with a mean of 6.5 per hour.

(a) What is the mean time until the 10th arrival?

(b) What is the probability that more than 20 minutes is required for the third arrival?

Questions & Answers

QUESTION:

Problem 149E

Patients arrive at a hospital emergency department according to a Poisson process with a mean of 6.5 per hour.

(a) What is the mean time until the 10th arrival?

(b) What is the probability that more than 20 minutes is required for the third arrival?

ANSWER:

Solution

Step 1 of 2

a) We have to find the mean time until 10th  arrival

Given that the patients arrive at a hospital with a poisson process with mean of 6.5 per hour

Then

Let X be the time until the 10th  arrival

Here X is following the gamma distribution

Here

The mean of gamma distribution is

The Mean (

                        =

                        =10/6.5

                        =1.538

Hence the mean time until 10th  arrival is 1.538


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