At the beginning of a certain study of a group of persons, 15% were classified as heavy

Chapter 1, Problem 1.5-11

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QUESTION:

At the beginning of a certain study of a group of persons, 15% were classified as heavy smokers, 30% as light smokers, and 55% as nonsmokers. In the fiveyear study, it was determined that the death rates of the heavy and light smokers were five and three times that of the nonsmokers, respectively. A randomly selected participant died over the five-year period; calculate the probability that the participant was a nonsmoker.

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QUESTION:

At the beginning of a certain study of a group of persons, 15% were classified as heavy smokers, 30% as light smokers, and 55% as nonsmokers. In the fiveyear study, it was determined that the death rates of the heavy and light smokers were five and three times that of the nonsmokers, respectively. A randomly selected participant died over the five-year period; calculate the probability that the participant was a nonsmoker.

ANSWER:

Step 1 of 3

Bayes' theorem

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