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Chapter 3, Problem 16TE

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QUESTION:

Problem 16TE

Independent trials that result in a success with probability p and a failure with probability 1 − p are called Bernoulli trials. Let Pn denote the probability that n Bernoulli trials result in an even number of successes (0 being considered an even number). Show that

and use this formula to prove (by induction) that

Questions & Answers

QUESTION:

Problem 16TE

Independent trials that result in a success with probability p and a failure with probability 1 − p are called Bernoulli trials. Let Pn denote the probability that n Bernoulli trials result in an even number of successes (0 being considered an even number). Show that

and use this formula to prove (by induction) that

ANSWER:

Step 1 of 2

(a)

The independent trials that result in a success with probability  and a failure with probability  are called Bernoulli trials.

We are asked to prove that

Let  denote the probability that  Bernoulli trials result in an even number of successes.

If the first trial is a success then we have  trials to go and to obtain an even total number of tosses we want the number of successes in the  trials to be odd This occurs with probability.

If the first trial is a failure then we have  trials to go and to obtain an even total number of tosses we want the number of successes in the  trials to be even This occurs with probability.

Hence we can write

Where  is the probability of success.

Hence proved.

 

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