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For the k-out-of-n system described in Problem, assume

Chapter 3, Problem 17STE

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QUESTION:

For the k-out-of-n system described in Problem 3.67, assume that each component independently works with probability \(\frac{1}{2}\). Find the conditional probability that component 1 is working, given that the system works, when

(a) k = 1, n = 2;

(b) k = 2, n = 3.

Problem 3.67

An engineering system consisting of n components is said to be a k-out-of-n system (k … n) if the system functions if and only if at least k of the n components function. Suppose that all components function independently of one another.

(a) If the ith component functions with probability \(P_i\), i = 1, 2, 3, 4, compute the probability that a 2-out-of-4 system functions.

(b) Repeat part (a) for a 3-out-of-5 system.

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QUESTION:

For the k-out-of-n system described in Problem 3.67, assume that each component independently works with probability \(\frac{1}{2}\). Find the conditional probability that component 1 is working, given that the system works, when

(a) k = 1, n = 2;

(b) k = 2, n = 3.

Problem 3.67

An engineering system consisting of n components is said to be a k-out-of-n system (k … n) if the system functions if and only if at least k of the n components function. Suppose that all components function independently of one another.

(a) If the ith component functions with probability \(P_i\), i = 1, 2, 3, 4, compute the probability that a 2-out-of-4 system functions.

(b) Repeat part (a) for a 3-out-of-5 system.

ANSWER:

Step 1 of 2

(a)

Assume that each component independently works with probability

We are asked to find the conditional probability that component 1 is working, given that the system works, when

Let  be the event the  component is working and for each part let  be the event at least  of  components are working.

To have one of two components working means that

Thus we have using addition rule of probability,

Let

Then the probability of the event of interest or  can be computed as

[We have given each component independently works with probability ]

Since if  is true then  must also be true, hence

Hence the conditional probability that component 1 is working, given that the system works, when  is

 

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