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Imagine that a friend of yours is

Chapter 7, Problem 13AYU

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QUESTION:

Problems 13-16 use the information presented in Examples 1 and 2.

a) Find the probability that your friend is between 5 and 10 minutes late.

(b) It is 10 A.M. There is a 40% probability your friend will arrive within the next_____minutes.

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QUESTION:

Problems 13-16 use the information presented in Examples 1 and 2.

a) Find the probability that your friend is between 5 and 10 minutes late.

(b) It is 10 A.M. There is a 40% probability your friend will arrive within the next_____minutes.

ANSWER:

Answer :

Step 1:  

  1.  We take X to be the angle at which the pointer comes to rest, so we use the interval [0, 1] =

 [a, b]  as its range. Since all angles are equally likely, the probability density function should not depend on x and therefore should be constant. That is, we take f  to be uniform f(x)=

The probability of generating a number between 10 and 20 is

Now, P(cXd) = P(10 X 20)  and P(aXb) = P(0 ≤ x ≤ 30)

P(cXd) = Area of shaded rectangle =

Therefore, the probability your friend will be between 10 and 20 minutes late is .

b) Assume that there is a 20% probability of a friend will arrive within the next ‘x’ minutes.

                     x = 0.2.

                    x = 0.2

                    x = 0.230

                    x  = 6.

     Therefore, probability of a friend will arrive within the next ‘6’ minutes.

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