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Chapter 10, Problem 15AYU

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QUESTION:

Problem 15AYU

False Positives The ELISA is a test to determine whether the HIV antibody is present. The test is 99.5% effective, which means that the test will come back negative if the HIV antibody is not present 99.5% of the time. The probability of a test coming back positive when the antibody is not present (a false positive) is 0.005. Suppose that the ELISA is given to five randomly selected people who do not have the HIV antibody.

(a) What is the probability that the ELISA comes back negative for all five people?

(b) What is the probability that the ELISA comes back positive for at least one of the five people?

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QUESTION:

Problem 15AYU

False Positives The ELISA is a test to determine whether the HIV antibody is present. The test is 99.5% effective, which means that the test will come back negative if the HIV antibody is not present 99.5% of the time. The probability of a test coming back positive when the antibody is not present (a false positive) is 0.005. Suppose that the ELISA is given to five randomly selected people who do not have the HIV antibody.

(a) What is the probability that the ELISA comes back negative for all five people?

(b) What is the probability that the ELISA comes back positive for at least one of the five people?

ANSWER:

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