A system is tested for faults once per hour. If there is

Chapter 4, Problem 9E

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QUESTION:

A system is tested for faults once per hour. If there is no fault, none will be detected. If there is a fault, the probability is 0.8 that it will be detected. The tests are independent of one another.

a. If there is a fault, what is the probability that it will be detected in 3 hours or less?

b. Given that a fault has gone undetected for 2 hours, what is the probability that it will be detected in the next hour?

c. What is the mean number of tests that must be conducted in order to detect a fault?

Questions & Answers

QUESTION:

A system is tested for faults once per hour. If there is no fault, none will be detected. If there is a fault, the probability is 0.8 that it will be detected. The tests are independent of one another.

a. If there is a fault, what is the probability that it will be detected in 3 hours or less?

b. Given that a fault has gone undetected for 2 hours, what is the probability that it will be detected in the next hour?

c. What is the mean number of tests that must be conducted in order to detect a fault?

ANSWER:

Answer:

Step 1 of 4:

Given,

A system is tested for faults once per hour. If there is no faults, none of the faults will be detected.

Then the probability of a fault is 0.8 and the tests are independent of one another.

Let X follows Geometric distribution and probability mass function of the Geometric distribution is

 P(x)  =  p  (1 - p  , x = 1, 2, …..

Where, p = 0.8


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