Value at risk (VAR) has become a key concept in financial

Chapter , Problem 33

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QUESTION:

Value at risk (VAR) has become a key concept in financial calculations. The VAR of an investment is defined as that value v such that there is only a 1 percent chance that the loss from the investment will exceed v. (a) If the gain from an investment is a normal random variable with mean 10 and variance 49, determine the value at risk. (If X is the gain, then X is the loss.) (b) Among a set of investments whose gains are all normally distributed show that the one having the smallest VAR is the one having the largest value of 2.33, where and 2 are the mean and variance of the gain from the investment.

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QUESTION:

Value at risk (VAR) has become a key concept in financial calculations. The VAR of an investment is defined as that value v such that there is only a 1 percent chance that the loss from the investment will exceed v. (a) If the gain from an investment is a normal random variable with mean 10 and variance 49, determine the value at risk. (If X is the gain, then X is the loss.) (b) Among a set of investments whose gains are all normally distributed show that the one having the smallest VAR is the one having the largest value of 2.33, where and 2 are the mean and variance of the gain from the investment.

ANSWER:

Step 1 of 2

a)

Let  be the normal random variable that represents the gain from an investment, . Now we know  is the loss so we can caluclate:

Now looking at the table we see that  so:

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