Suppose that the differential brightness of a certain star

Chapter 9, Problem 22

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QUESTION:

Suppose that the differential brightness of a certain star has an unknown value, and it is desired to test the following simple hypotheses: H0: = 0, H1: = 10. The statistician knows that when he goes to the observatory at midnight to measure , there is probability 1/2 that the meteorological conditions will be good, and he will be able to obtain a measurement X having the normal distribution with mean and variance 1. He also knows that there is probability 1/2 that the meteorological conditions will be poor, and he will obtain a measurement Y having the normal distribution with mean and variance 100. The statistician also learns whether the meteorological conditions were good or poor. a. Construct the most powerful test that has conditional size = 0.05, given good meteorological conditions, and one that has conditional size = 0.05, given poor meteorological conditions. b. Construct the most powerful test that has conditional size = 2.0 107, given good meteorological conditions, and one that has conditional size = 0.0999998, given poor meteorological conditions. (You will need a computer program to do this.) c. Show that the overall size of both the test found in part (a) and the test found in part (b) is 0.05, and determine the power of each of these two tests.

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QUESTION:

Suppose that the differential brightness of a certain star has an unknown value, and it is desired to test the following simple hypotheses: H0: = 0, H1: = 10. The statistician knows that when he goes to the observatory at midnight to measure , there is probability 1/2 that the meteorological conditions will be good, and he will be able to obtain a measurement X having the normal distribution with mean and variance 1. He also knows that there is probability 1/2 that the meteorological conditions will be poor, and he will obtain a measurement Y having the normal distribution with mean and variance 100. The statistician also learns whether the meteorological conditions were good or poor. a. Construct the most powerful test that has conditional size = 0.05, given good meteorological conditions, and one that has conditional size = 0.05, given poor meteorological conditions. b. Construct the most powerful test that has conditional size = 2.0 107, given good meteorological conditions, and one that has conditional size = 0.0999998, given poor meteorological conditions. (You will need a computer program to do this.) c. Show that the overall size of both the test found in part (a) and the test found in part (b) is 0.05, and determine the power of each of these two tests.

ANSWER:

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Suppose that the differential brightness of a certain star has an unknown value, and it is desired to test the following simple hypotheses

                                                                    

The statistician knows that when he goes to the observatory at midnight to measure  ,there is a ½ probability that the meteorological conditions will be good. He will be able to obtain a measurement X having the normal distribution with mean and variance 1. He also knows that there is a probability 1/2 that the meteorological conditions will be poor, and he will obtain a measurement Y having the normal distribution with mean and variance 100.

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