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Poisson Approximation to Binomial Distribution An experiment consists of rolling a

Chapter 5, Problem 17

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QUESTION:

Poisson Approximation to Binomial Distribution An experiment consists of rolling a single die 12 times and the variable x is the number of times that the outcome is 6. a. Can the Poisson distribution be used to find the probability that the outcome of 6 occurs exactly 3 times? Why or why not? b. If the Poisson distribution is used, is the result OK? Why or why not?

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QUESTION:

Poisson Approximation to Binomial Distribution An experiment consists of rolling a single die 12 times and the variable x is the number of times that the outcome is 6. a. Can the Poisson distribution be used to find the probability that the outcome of 6 occurs exactly 3 times? Why or why not? b. If the Poisson distribution is used, is the result OK? Why or why not?

ANSWER:

Step 1 of 2

Given that,

An experiment consists of rolling a single die 12 times and the variable x is the number of times that the outcome is 6.

a.

The Binomial distribution is approximated with Poisson distribution only if the sample size n is so large; that is, .

Concerning the problem,

A single die is rolled 12 times indicating the number of trials to be n = 12 (very less than 100) Moreover, the probability that the outcome is 6 is  .

So,

With  , the requirement of is not fulfilled. Thus, the Poisson distribution is not a good approximation to the binomial distribution.

Hence,

The Poisson distribution cannot be used to find the probability that the outcome of 6 occurs exactly 3 times.

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