As explained in this chapter, Simpsons paradox says that it is possible to have events

Chapter 2, Problem 52

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As explained in this chapter, Simpsons paradox says that it is possible to have events A, B, C such that P(A|B,C) < P(A|Bc, C) and P(A|B,Cc) < P(A|Bc, Cc), yet P(A|B) > P(A|Bc). (a) Can Simpsons paradox occur if A and B are independent? If so, give a concrete example (with both numbers and an interpretation); if not, prove that it is impossible. (b) Can Simpsons paradox occur if A and C are independent? If so, give a concrete example (with both numbers and an interpretation); if not, prove that it is impossible. (c) Can Simpsons paradox occur if B and C are independent? If so, give a concrete example (with both numbers and an interpretation); if not, prove that it is impossible.

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