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The Ballot Problem. In an election, candidate A receives n

Chapter 3, Problem 21TE

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QUESTION:

Problem 21TE

The Ballot Problem. In an election, candidate A receives n votes and candidate B receives mvotes, where n > m. Assuming that all of the (n + m)!/n!m! orderings of the votes are equally likely, let Pn,m denote the probability that A is always ahead in the counting of the votes.

(a) Compute P2,1, P3,1, P3,2, P4,1, P4,2, P4,3.

(b) Find Pn,1, Pn,2.

(c) On the basis of your results in parts (a) and (b), conjecture the value of Pn,m.

(d) Derive a recursion for Pn,m in terms of Pn−1,m and Pn,m−1 by conditioning on who receives the last vote.

(e) Use part (d) to verify your conjecture in part (c) by an induction proof on n + m.

Questions & Answers

QUESTION:

Problem 21TE

The Ballot Problem. In an election, candidate A receives n votes and candidate B receives mvotes, where n > m. Assuming that all of the (n + m)!/n!m! orderings of the votes are equally likely, let Pn,m denote the probability that A is always ahead in the counting of the votes.

(a) Compute P2,1, P3,1, P3,2, P4,1, P4,2, P4,3.

(b) Find Pn,1, Pn,2.

(c) On the basis of your results in parts (a) and (b), conjecture the value of Pn,m.

(d) Derive a recursion for Pn,m in terms of Pn−1,m and Pn,m−1 by conditioning on who receives the last vote.

(e) Use part (d) to verify your conjecture in part (c) by an induction proof on n + m.

ANSWER:

Step 1 of 10

Given that A receives n votes

and B receives m votes where n>m

is the probability that A is always a head in counting the votes

Assuming that

a) We have to compute

For calculating

The sequences where A leads B is {(AAB)}

Then from the equation (1)

                                                       =3

Then

                    =1/3

                    =0.333

 

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