The midterm and final exam scores of 10 students in a statistics course are tabulated as shown. (a) Calculate the least squares regression line for these data. (b) Plot the points and the least squares regression line on the same graph. (c) Find the value of \(\widehat{\sigma^2}\).
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Textbook Solutions for Probability and Statistical Inference
Question
The “golden ratio” is \(\phi=(1+\sqrt{5}) / 2\). John Putz, a mathematician who was interested in music, analyzed Mozart's sonata movements, which are divided into two distinct sections, both of which are repeated in performance (see References). The length of the Exposition in measures is represented by a and the length of the “Development and Recapitulation” is represented by \(b\). Putz's conjecture was that Mozart divided his movements close to the golden ratio. That is, Putz was interested in studying whether a scatter plot of \(a+b\) against \(b\) not only would be linear, but also would actually fall along the line \(y=\phi x\). Here are the data in tabular form, in which the first column identifies the piece and movement by the Kchel cataloging system:
(a) Make a scatter plot of the points \(a+b\) against the points \(b\). Is this plot linear?
(b) Find the equation of the least squares regression line. Superimpose it on the scatter plot.
\(\begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|} \hline \text { Köchel } & a & b & a+b & \text { Köchel } & a & b & a+b \\ \hline 279, \mathrm{I} & 38 & 62 & 100 & 279, \text { II } & 28 & 46 & 74 \\ \hline 279, \text { III } & 56 & 102 & 158 & 280, \mathrm{I} & 56 & 88 & 144 \\ \hline 280 \text {, II } & 24 & 36 & 60 & 280, \text { III } & 77 & 113 & 190 \\ \hline 281, \text { I } & 40 & 69 & 109 & 281, \text { II } & 46 & 60 & 106 \\ \hline 82, \mathrm{I} & 15 & 18 & 33 & 282, \text { III } & 39 & 63 & 102 \\ \hline 283, \text { I } & 53 & 67 & 120 & 283 \text {, II } & 14 & 23 & 37 \\ \hline 283, \text { III } & 102 & 171 & 273 & 284,\mathrm{I} & 51 & 76 & 127 \\ \hline 309, \mathrm{I} & 58 & 97 & 155 & 311,\mathrm{I} & 39 & 73 & 112 \\ \hline 310, \text { I } & 49 & 84 & 133 & 330,\mathrm{I} & 58 & 92 & 150 \\ \hline 330, \text { III } & 68 & 103 & 171 & 332, \text { I } & 93 & 136 & 229 \\ \hline 32, \text { III } & 90 & 155 & 245 & 333, \mathrm{I} & 63 & 102 & 165 \\ \hline \text { 333, II } & 31 & 50 & 81 & 457, \mathrm{I} & 74 & 93 & 167 \\ \hline 533, \text { I } & 102 & 137 & 239 & 533 \text {, II } & 46 & 76 & 122 \\ \hline 545, \mathrm{I} & 28 & 45 & 73 & 547 \mathrm{a}, \mathrm{I} & 78 & 118 & 196 \\ \hline 570, \mathrm{I} & 79 & 130 & 209 & & & & \\ \hline \end{array}\)
(c) On the scatter plot, superimpose the line \(y=\phi x\). Compare this line with the least squares regression line (graphically if you wish).
(d) Find the sample mean of the points \((a+b) / b\). Is the mean close to \(\phi\) ?
Solution
The first step in solving 6.5 problem number 64 trying to solve the problem we have to refer to the textbook question: The “golden ratio” is \(\phi=(1+\sqrt{5}) / 2\). John Putz, a mathematician who was interested in music, analyzed Mozart's sonata movements, which are divided into two distinct sections, both of which are repeated in performance (see References). The length of the Exposition in measures is represented by a and the length of the “Development and Recapitulation” is represented by \(b\). Putz's conjecture was that Mozart divided his movements close to the golden ratio. That is, Putz was interested in studying whether a scatter plot of \(a+b\) against \(b\) not only would be linear, but also would actually fall along the line \(y=\phi x\). Here are the data in tabular form, in which the first column identifies the piece and movement by the Kchel cataloging system: (a) Make a scatter plot of the points \(a+b\) against the points \(b\). Is this plot linear?(b) Find the equation of the least squares regression line. Superimpose it on the scatter plot. \(\begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|} \hline \text { Köchel } & a & b & a+b & \text { Köchel } & a & b & a+b \\ \hline 279, \mathrm{I} & 38 & 62 & 100 & 279, \text { II } & 28 & 46 & 74 \\ \hline 279, \text { III } & 56 & 102 & 158 & 280, \mathrm{I} & 56 & 88 & 144 \\ \hline 280 \text {, II } & 24 & 36 & 60 & 280, \text { III } & 77 & 113 & 190 \\ \hline 281, \text { I } & 40 & 69 & 109 & 281, \text { II } & 46 & 60 & 106 \\ \hline 82, \mathrm{I} & 15 & 18 & 33 & 282, \text { III } & 39 & 63 & 102 \\ \hline 283, \text { I } & 53 & 67 & 120 & 283 \text {, II } & 14 & 23 & 37 \\ \hline 283, \text { III } & 102 & 171 & 273 & 284,\mathrm{I} & 51 & 76 & 127 \\ \hline 309, \mathrm{I} & 58 & 97 & 155 & 311,\mathrm{I} & 39 & 73 & 112 \\ \hline 310, \text { I } & 49 & 84 & 133 & 330,\mathrm{I} & 58 & 92 & 150 \\ \hline 330, \text { III } & 68 & 103 & 171 & 332, \text { I } & 93 & 136 & 229 \\ \hline 32, \text { III } & 90 & 155 & 245 & 333, \mathrm{I} & 63 & 102 & 165 \\ \hline \text { 333, II } & 31 & 50 & 81 & 457, \mathrm{I} & 74 & 93 & 167 \\ \hline 533, \text { I } & 102 & 137 & 239 & 533 \text {, II } & 46 & 76 & 122 \\ \hline 545, \mathrm{I} & 28 & 45 & 73 & 547 \mathrm{a}, \mathrm{I} & 78 & 118 & 196 \\ \hline 570, \mathrm{I} & 79 & 130 & 209 & & & & \\ \hline \end{array}\)(c) On the scatter plot, superimpose the line \(y=\phi x\). Compare this line with the least squares regression line (graphically if you wish). (d) Find the sample mean of the points \((a+b) / b\). Is the mean close to \(\phi\) ?
From the textbook chapter Point Estimation you will find a few key concepts needed to solve this.
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