Ms. Bergen is a loan officer at Coast Bank and Trust. From | StudySoup

Textbook Solutions for Basic Statistics for Business and Economics

Chapter 6 Problem 27E

Question

Ms. Bergen is a loan officer at Coast Bank and Trust. From her years of experience, she estimates that the probability is .025 that an applicant will not be able to repay his or her installment loan. Last month she made 40 loans.

a. What is the probability that 3 loans will be defaulted?

b. What is the probability that at least 3 loans will be defaulted?

Solution

Step 1 of 2

 

(a)

We are asked to find the probability that 3 loans will be default.

Given that the probability is 0.025 that an applicant will not be able to repay his or her installment loan.

Last month she made 40 loans.

Hence we have given \(n=40\) and \(p=0.025\).

Since the number is more than 30 , we can approximate the Poisson distribution with the binomial distribution with mean,

\(\mu=n p=40 \times 0.025=1\)

The probability mass function (PMF) of Poisson distribution is

\(\begin{gathered}P(X=x)=\frac{e^{-\mu} \mu^{x}}{x !} \\P(X=3)=\frac{e^{-1}(1)^{3}}{3 !}=0.0613 \end{gathered}\)

Hence the probability of 3 loans will be default is 0.0613.

 

Subscribe to view the
full solution

Title Basic Statistics for Business and Economics  7 
Author Douglas Lind; William Marchal; Samuel Wathen
ISBN 9780077384470

Ms. Bergen is a loan officer at Coast Bank and Trust. From

Chapter 6 textbook questions

×

Login

Organize all study tools for free

Or continue with
×

Register

Sign up for access to all content on our site!

Or continue with

Or login if you already have an account

×

Reset password

If you have an active account we’ll send you an e-mail for password recovery

Or login if you have your password back